Wednesday, February 08, 2012
|Rick Santorum has a fighting chance.|
One characteristic they all share, however, is they love Rick Santorum. A lot.
The conservative pretty-boy candidate for 2012 won the primary contests in those three states rather handily on Tuesday, knocking the "inevitability" card cleanly out of Mitt Romney's hands.
Following Santorum's shocking showing in Iowa (a recount later showed he actually won the state), he went somewhat dormant, doing poorly in New Hampshire, Florida, South Carolina and Nevada. But looking at Tuesday night's numbers, you'd be hard-pressed to realize that he isn't the "inevitable" Republican nominee.
|Are you worried yet, Mitt?|
There are three weeks until the next contests in Michigan and Arizona — and four weeks until Super Tuesday, which will see GOP voting in Alaska, Georgia, Idaho, Massachusetts, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia and Wyoming. It could essentially wrap up the nomination.
Four weeks is about equal to a million years in a presidential campaign and polling numbers could very easily swing wildly between now and then. I would expect that Romney will spend heavily in Michigan and Arizona in an effort to make Santorum look bad, in hopes of regaining his momentum and convincing Super Tuesday voters that they might as well vote for him since his victory was predetermined.
|This week's convention could matter.|
When I worked in radio, I was invited to the CPAC convention repeatedly to sit in (and broadcast from) radio row. It always pained me that I couldn't convince my boss to let me go, but such is life. Boy how I'd love to be there this year — to see how it all plays out.
In just three days, we may be looking at Rick Santorum in a whole new light — as the "come-from-behind" kid in the 2012 campaign.
Let's not forget that there are two other candidates involved here. I know it's easy to forget Texas Congressman Ron Paul — considering the media fails to acknowledge his existence at times. And I know a lot of people want to forget former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich. But both men are still in the campaign ... for now.
|I'm not sure 2012 is your year ...|
Dr. Paul, meanwhile is not going anywhere. Although he only has nine delegates, he appears to have plans to stay in the campaign until the end. I'm not sure if he's hoping for a brokered convention ... or if he's delusional ... or what. (disclaimer, I wrote in Ron Paul in 2008 and I probably will again in 2012). Tuesday night, he sent out an email saying he only trailed front-runner Romney by eight points. I'm not sure what kind of strategy has you proclaiming that you're trailing a guy who just got his ass handed to him in three different states by eight points, but ... Ron Paul did.
Also something to consider: The Republican nominee is still going to have to face President Obama in November. And despite the turmoil in the country right now, I don't see any of these men beating Obama.
• Might there still be a candidate from the outside? If results keep going back and forth as they are right now, we could seriously see a brokered convention. Donald Trump? Sarah Palin? Ugh, let's not go there. Hopefully a clear path to the nomination will be revealed soon.
|Biden (noun) Bi.den - One-term V.P., A political liability.|